Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.003182 0.003553 0.003941 0.004374 0.004845 0.005340 0.005898
2024-11-03 0.002556 0.003071 0.003640 0.004309 0.005074 0.005916 0.006909
2024-11-10 0.002197 0.002789 0.003468 0.004299 0.005282 0.006400 0.007760
2024-11-17 0.001916 0.002551 0.003306 0.004259 0.005421 0.006777 0.008467
2024-11-24 0.001763 0.002445 0.003281 0.004366 0.005718 0.007332 0.009383
2024-12-01 0.001541 0.002228 0.003097 0.004254 0.005731 0.007531 0.009863
2024-12-08 0.001397 0.002098 0.003008 0.004249 0.005867 0.007874 0.010517
2024-12-15 0.001336 0.002071 0.003047 0.004404 0.006205 0.008473 0.011498
2024-12-22 0.001247 0.001997 0.003017 0.004463 0.006415 0.008908 0.012278
2024-12-29 0.001191 0.001965 0.003040 0.004590 0.006714 0.009461 0.013216
2025-01-05 0.001148 0.001947 0.003077 0.004736 0.007038 0.010052 0.014213
2025-01-12 0.001028 0.001805 0.002932 0.004617 0.006997 0.010155 0.014570
2025-01-19 0.000945 0.001716 0.002858 0.004599 0.007097 0.010454 0.015198
2025-01-26 0.000857 0.001611 0.002756 0.004534 0.007125 0.010655 0.015699
2025-02-02 0.000792 0.001537 0.002694 0.004523 0.007227 0.010955 0.016337
2025-02-09 0.000725 0.001456 0.002616 0.004482 0.007282 0.011187 0.016882
2025-02-16 0.000698 0.001440 0.002638 0.004592 0.007558 0.011733 0.017867
2025-02-23 0.000626 0.001338 0.002516 0.004476 0.007494 0.011794 0.018178
2025-03-02 0.000582 0.001283 0.002469 0.004471 0.007594 0.012089 0.018819
2025-03-09 0.000573 0.001292 0.002526 0.004633 0.007949 0.012757 0.019996
2025-03-16 0.000546 0.001265 0.002521 0.004694 0.008151 0.013204 0.020867
2025-03-23 0.000533 0.001264 0.002559 0.004826 0.008464 0.013818 0.021984
2025-03-30 0.000524 0.001269 0.002609 0.004977 0.008809 0.014485 0.023187